Capital rotation, measured daily · Available Thu 23 Jul · 19:00

Follow the money.

See where the money is actually moving: the Money Flow Tape shows daily where capital rotates across asset classes — and which events the market simply shrugged off. Measured, not opinion.

AvailabilityAvailable in

Thursday, 23 July 2026 · 19:00

No signals. No investment advice. Every statement labeled as measured or derived.

Money Flow TapeRotation vs. broad market · 5 days
Technologie
derived
+58Strong inflow
Energie
derived
-34Outflow
Anleihen lang
derived
-30Outflow
Illustrative example — the live Tape runs in the product · Sources: price/volume · CFTC · FRED
The problem

Five "decisive" events every week. Most of them weren't.

Financial media sells urgency — every CPI print is "pivotal", every Fed meeting "historic". Investors need the opposite: a filter that shows what actually moved capital. And what didn't.

Measured, not opinion

424 macro events analyzed.
Most "pivotal moments" weren't.

Knowing that keeps you from selling at the worst moment — and from checking your portfolio five times a day.

81%
of US inflation prints (CPI) came in as expected
For PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge, it was 94%. Most "fateful dates" deliver exactly what was expected.
2×
as often, the Fed meeting moves rotation compared to any other event
FOMC is the only event that measurably stands out. If you take just one date seriously, now you know which.
6.0 vs. 13.5
rotation intensity: shrugged-off events vs. ordinary trading days
When an event brings no surprise, the market is measurably calmer than on random days. "Shrugged off" isn't a phrase — it's a measurement.
424 event instances 2019–2026 · placebo-controlled · methodology versioned and disclosed
Who it's for

One dataset. Three time horizons.

Capital rotation is the same for everyone — what changes is the question you ask it.

Long-term · Years

Stay calm

You want to know whether the noise concerns you at all. Base rates and the calm evaluation show what the market shrugged off — and spare you selling at the worst moment.

Your modules: Events & Base Rates · Briefing
Medium-term · Months

Watch the weights

You track how capital shifts between asset classes. The Tape shows the rotation, the Exposure Matrix lays your own portfolio next to it.

Your modules: Tape · Exposure Matrix
Short-term · Days & weeks

Read the states

You look at markets daily. Trader Score and Impact Chains describe what state a market is in and how shocks have historically propagated.

Your modules: Trader Score · Impact Chains

All three get the same data — descriptive, without signals. Which conclusions you draw depends on your horizon. And remains your decision.

The product

From the big picture to your portfolio.

Six modules, each answering exactly one question — that's all you need.

Where does capital stand right now?

Money Flow Tape Live

Daily, across 13 asset-class buckets: where is capital flowing in, where is it pulling out? Not as opinion, but as relative strength versus the broad market — computed from prices, volume and US regulator positioning data. One glance is enough to read the week.

Rotation today13 buckets · daily
Technologie
derived
+58Strong inflow
Gold
derived
+16Inflow
Anleihen lang
derived
-30Outflow
Illustrative example
What's coming on the calendar — and what actually matters?

Events & Base Rates Live

Before every macro event you see its history: how often did it come in as expected over 7 years? How often did it move rotation at all? "Watch out, CPI tomorrow!" becomes: "CPI — came in as expected 81% of the time." After the event, the system evaluates automatically.

Upcoming eventsBase rates from 7 years
CPI — US inflationTue 14.07. · 14:30
as expected 81 %above 10 %below 9 %
NFP — US jobs reportFri 07.08. · 14:30
as expected 75 %above 13 %below 12 %
The one event that genuinely surprises — more than any inflation print.
Real base rates from the product · event dates are examples
What does all of this mean in practice?

Briefing Live

Twice a week, the plain-language read — written by humans, grounded in data, archived and delivered by email. We stay silent on Mondays, deliberately: no new data is created over the weekend, so there's nothing honest to write. Anyone sending you seven analyses a week is selling you urgency.

The weekly rhythmafter the data, never before
MO
No briefing
DI
Briefing
MI
Tape runs
DO
Briefing
FR
Tape runs
From the Thursday briefing: "PCE came in as expected — as it does 94% of the time. No measurable rotation, the Tape stayed quiet. If you did nothing this week, you missed nothing."
What arrives unannounced — and how does it play out?

Impact Chains In development

Shocks don't appear in any calendar. Impact Chains show how an event historically worked its way through the asset classes — step by step, with the actual flow data from back then. Plus in-depth guides to real cases, so that when the next shock hits, you know what typically comes next.

Impact chain: oil shockhistorical replay
Geopolitical escalationtrigger — in no calendar
Energy commodities attract capitalmeasured · +48 in 3 days
Consumer & transport give waymeasured · −31
Guides:Iran escalationUkraine 2022
Illustrative example — module in development
What state is each market in?

Trader Score In development

One state measure per market: is it calm, is tension building, or is capital clearly rotating in one direction? The score describes the situation — what you do with it remains your decision. That's exactly why it isn't called "buy/sell".

Market statesdescriptive · not a signal
Nasdaq 100selective66
S&P 500selective58
Goldselective62
Illustrative example — module in development
How exposed am I?

Exposure Matrix In development

Your portfolio, laid against current rotation: which positions sit in inflows, which in outflows — and where concentration has quietly built up without you noticing. No rebalancing advice. Just the mirror.

Your portfolio vs. rotationyour watchlist
Tech ETFGrowth equities42 %outflow
World ETFEquities broad31 %neutral–inflow
Bond ETFLong bonds18 %inflow
Concentration: 42% of your portfolio sits in a single bucket — and that bucket is currently in outflow.
The proof

A record that cannot lie.

Every assessment is written down before the event — into a database that technically refuses changes. Nothing can be polished, deleted or re-dated after the fact. Hits and misses stay on the record forever. Both.

02.07.2026NFP — jobs reportdownside surprise · rotation into defensives expectedHIT
02.07.2026NFP — bond reactioninflow into long bonds expected · the opposite occurredMISS
25.06.2026PCE — inflation printas expected · no measurable rotationCALM CONFIRMED
25.06.2026PCE — rotation impactevent didn't move rotation — as in 94% of casesNO DRIVER
Excerpt from the actual record. The MISS is there because it belongs there — a track record without mistakes isn't one.
Technically immutableAppend-only, enforced by database triggers: entries can neither be edited nor deleted. Not promised — enforced.
Rules versionedWhen we change evaluation rules, it's documented. Old verdicts remain under the old rule.
Placebo-testedEvery metric has to prove it measures more than chance — or it gets cut. Even if it would have sold well.
Clear boundaries

What Money Flow is not — on purpose.

✕ No buy or sell signals

We never say "enter now". We show where capital stands — the decision remains yours.

✕ No investment advice

An information and education product. No recommendations on securities, no personal advice.

✕ No price forecasts

We don't claim to know the future. We document base rates — and hold our own statements publicly to account.

✓ Instead: orientation

Where capital stands, what matters, what was shrugged off. Descriptive, verifiable, on the record.

Pricing

One product. One price. 14 days free.

Our sales argument is the record — so look at it for two weeks before you pay.

AvailabilityAvailable in

Thursday, 23 July 2026 · 19:00

Monthly
€14.95 / month
Billed monthly · incl. VAT · cancel anytime
  • Tape, Events & Base Rates, the Record
  • Briefing Tue + Thu — archived and by email
  • New modules included as they ship
Start 14-day free trial
Save 40%
Yearly
€8.95 / month
Billed yearly: €107.40 / year · incl. VAT · cancel anytime
  • Tape, Events & Base Rates, the Record
  • Briefing Tue + Thu — archived and by email
  • New modules included as they ship
Start 14-day free trial

The trial is free and non-binding. The first charge occurs only after the 14 days end — on the yearly plan, the full annual amount of €107.40. Cancel during the trial and nothing is charged. Purchase and billing via our sales partner Digistore24 (shown on your bank statement). Manage invoices, cancellation and withdrawal in the Digistore24 customer portal.

For private use only. Commercial use of content and data — e.g. in advisory, asset management, publications or your own products — is not permitted. Interested in a commercial license? Contact us.
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Money Flow investment advice or a signal service?

No. Money Flow is a purely informational and educational product. We give no buy or sell recommendations, no entry or exit signals, and no personal investment advice. We describe publicly available market data — the conclusions are yours to draw.

What does "measured" vs. "derived" mean?

Measured means: computed directly from data — prices, volume, positioning. Derived means: a statistical inference or interpretation, for example a base rate from historical cases. Every statement in the product carries one of the two labels. You always see what it stands on.

Where does the data come from?

From public sources: end-of-day price and volume data, the weekly positioning reports of the US regulator CFTC, and macroeconomic time series from the Federal Reserve (FRED). The data lags by at least one trading day — Money Flow is not a real-time tool and doesn't want to be.

Why is there no briefing on Mondays?

Because no new data is created over the weekend. A Monday briefing would be opinion without measurement — the opposite of this product. Briefings appear Tuesdays and Thursdays, always after the data.

Can I trust the record?

You don't have to — you can verify. Assessments are written before the event into a database that technically refuses edits and deletions (append-only, enforced by triggers). Evaluation runs automatically under fixed, versioned rules. Misses stay on the record just like hits.

Can I use Money Flow professionally?

The subscription is strictly for private, non-commercial use. Using content or data in advisory, asset management, publications or your own products requires a separate agreement. For commercial licenses: info@indicator.trading.

How do trial, cancellation and withdrawal work?

The first 14 days are free. Cancel during the trial and nothing is charged. After that, you can cancel anytime effective at the end of the billing period. Purchase, charges, invoices and withdrawal are handled by our sales partner Digistore24 — that’s how it appears on your bank statement. Details in the refund policy and the Digistore24 customer portal.

When does Money Flow launch?

The subscription becomes available on Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 19:00 (CEST). The Tape, Events with base rates and the Record already run fully automated; briefings are published weekly. Impact Chains, Trader Score and Exposure Matrix are in development and will be added after launch — included for subscribers at no extra cost.